Once we have survived the coronavirus pandemic, hopefully climate change will once again be the focus of reporting. Right now we still have all the strings in hand to prevent the worst until 2050 we should become climate neutral at the very latest. If we do not change the status quo, a new study could soon threaten long and very hot summers in the northern hemisphere.
The development is not new. If we compare a summer of 720 with one of this decade, then the season already lasts 20 Percent longer than then. Up to 2100 the share could exceed 50 percent increase compared to then. At the current time, summer is defined here as the period in which 25 Percentage of the highest temperatures occur.
Between and 2011 therefore the summer of 79 on 95 days, during the length of winter from 76 on 73 days decreased. If we do not change our current way of life, then up to 2050 just 166 Days fall into summer, winter would just appear one month (31 days) shrink.
Depending on the region, the differences are sometimes more, sometimes less pronounced. The area around the Mediterranean and the Tibetan plateau are likely to have the most to do with significantly longer summers, but we will also have to struggle with the consequences in this country. Because in addition to individual advantages (it’s warm, the sun is shining, …) there are also many risks.
Agriculture in particular is likely to suffer from the new conditions. The drought increases with longer summers, and the harvests could be significantly narrower as a result. The effects on people and health – especially with older people – are not entirely without. And then of course there would be the greater danger from forest fires and similar natural disasters.
Most of us should probably no longer experience 2050, nevertheless we decide today which planet we will leave behind for future generations. It has been clear for a long time that we are still getting away relatively well in the northern hemisphere, but the changes that are taking place are likely to have a lasting effect on our quality of life. What we sow today, we will reap tomorrow.
Via The Guardian